aseanx collates the satellite, air-quality and government record across all eleven markets, then adds its own assessment of economic impact, accountability and what to expect. Free to read.
Southern ASEAN remains under its highest haze alert, and South Sumatra leads the fire count. The alert is set by the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC), the region’s official haze watch. The map shows Indonesian provinces by fire hotspots on 16 October and the latest official air readings in Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore, each with its date.


Indonesia has recorded the most fire hotspots in ASEAN in 2026, and Myanmar the second most. Each dot counts vegetation-fire hotspots detected by NASA satellites from 1 January to 17 October 2026, on a stretched (logarithmic) scale so that small and very large counts both stay readable. Indonesia’s fires drive the haze now over Malaysia and Singapore.
South Sumatra recorded 132 hotspots on 16 October, the most of any Indonesian province. Bubbles show fire hotspots by province, counted by Indonesia’s Ministry of Forestry at 21:00 Western Indonesia Time on 16 October.
Satellite photos show smoke covering Sumatra and Borneo through October. NASA satellites photograph the region every day. The smoke shows as the grey-brown layer beneath the white clouds.



Indonesia’s 2026 fire count is the third-highest since 2001 for the same period of the year. Each point counts vegetation-fire hotspots in Indonesia from 1 January to 17 October of that year, so every year is compared over the same weeks. Select a year for its count.
Indonesia and the Philippines recorded hazardous air, and Singapore very unhealthy air, in the latest official readings. Each government publishes its own air-quality index. aseanx places each country’s worst latest reading on one five-step scale, using that government’s own health category. Select a country for its reading.
Indonesia’s fire count and fine-particle pollution downwind have risen together, to 84 micrograms per cubic metre in Singapore in October 2026, the highest month since its records began in 2014. That is about seven times Singapore’s typical month (a median of 12 in 2022–2025), 5.6 times the World Health Organization’s 24-hour guideline of 15, and above the 2015 haze peak of 69. Both countries are measured the same way: the average fine-particle (PM2.5) level across the month. Indonesia’s fire count sits above on the same timeline, and the dotted lines mark the 2015, 2019, 2023 and 2026 fire seasons. Malaysia’s national series runs from January 2018 to December 2024; October 2026 covers 1 to 17 October. Select any month or year for its figure.
Sarawak’s air swung between moderate and unhealthy over the past seven days, while Singapore’s stayed very unhealthy for most of the past four. Each line is the worst reading each hour. Singapore’s PSI is a 24-hour average; Malaysia’s API is the highest hourly reading at any station. Both use the same bands. Select any point in time for every reading at that hour.
Palembang’s air worsened through the day to a hazardous 352 by 21:00. Indonesia’s ISPU, Malaysia’s API and Singapore’s PSI share the same bands, so the cities can be compared on one scale. Indonesian readings use the higher of the PM10 and PM2.5 index each hour. Times are Malaysia time. Select any hour for every reading.
Palangka Raya in Central Kalimantan recorded an air index of 4,140, more than eight times the 500 at which the index scale ends. Indonesia’s ISPU, Malaysia’s API and the PSI of Singapore and Brunei share the same bands: above 100 is unhealthy, above 200 very unhealthy and above 300 hazardous. The index scale itself ends at 500, so this chart uses a stretched (logarithmic) scale that keeps readings beyond 500 on the chart; Palangka Raya sits far beyond the hazardous band. Select a dot for its time and source.
Fine-particle pollution in Palangka Raya reached 1,470 micrograms per cubic metre in one hour on 18 October. PM2.5 is the fine smoke particle most harmful to health, measured in micrograms per cubic metre. Each dot is a one-hour reading, on a stretched (logarithmic) scale. The dotted line marks the World Health Organization’s 24-hour guideline of 15.
Indonesia and Malaysia have both recorded hazardous peaks since the haze season began in August. Each dot is the highest official reading aseanx has found for that market since 1 August 2026, on the shared band scale. The Philippines reported its top category, Emergency, in Zamboanga City on 14 October, without a published number. Select a dot for the date and source.
Seven of the eleven markets have officially reported haze from the Indonesian fires this season. Each market is coloured by the most severe impact its own government has reported. Hover over or tap a market for the detail and the source.
Smoke closed schools, cut airport visibility and pushed one Sarawak district into an emergency. Each entry is a reported local impact with its date and source.
| Place | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Serian, Sarawak | The Air Pollutant Index passed 500 on 4 September, and an emergency was declared in Serian Division. | Prime Minister’s Office via Malay Mail, 4 Sep 2026 |
| Lubok Antu, Sarawak | Lubok Antu recorded Malaysia's highest reading, an API of 179, as of 14 October. | The Straits Times, Oct 2026 |
| Johor, Melaka and Negeri Sembilan | Schools closed in mid-October. On 7 October, 35 areas in Malaysia recorded unhealthy API readings. | The Vibes, 14 Oct 2026; The Star, 7 Oct 2026 |
| Palangka Raya, Central Kalimantan | Visibility fell to 150 metres at 12:30 on 7 October as weak winds held the smoke over the city. | The Edge Malaysia, 8 Oct 2026 |
| Melalan Airport, East Kalimantan | Visibility fell to 500 metres on 7 October, and several flights were cancelled. | The Edge Malaysia, 8 Oct 2026 |
CELIOS, an Indonesian research centre, puts the losses from the 2026 fires to August at US$2.2–6.8 billion, before the peak months. Three published studies measure the economic impact of Indonesia’s fires. The 2026 estimate, as reported, covers January to August only, so it leaves out September and October, when about two thirds of this year’s fire hotspots were detected. Select a study for what it covers and its source.
Indonesian ministries have acted against hundreds of licence holders, but published few names. Each row is an action as reported by the authority, with its count and a link to the authority’s own page. aseanx cannot independently verify these reports.
| Date | Authority | Action | Count | Official source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Ministry of Environment, Indonesia | Identified concession holders with hotspots on their land | 335 | kemenlh.go.id |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia | Issued government coercion orders | 6 | kehutanan.go.id |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia | Sanctioned licence holders, from licence suspension to forced restoration | 5 | kehutanan.go.id |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia | Froze business licences | 26 | kehutanan.go.id |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia | Cancelled business licences | 5 | kehutanan.go.id |
| 16 Oct 2026 | National Environment Agency, Singapore | Issued preventive measure notices under the Transboundary Haze Pollution Act | 7 | nea.gov.sg |
Indonesia’s government has reported the full names of 10 licence holders and the initials of 6 more. Each number on the map matches a regency or province in the list. Only names published on an Indonesian government website appear, as reported there. A sanction is an administrative decision, not a court verdict.
| Map | Licence holder | Location | Action as reported | Official source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PT Mahkota Rimba Utama | Ketapang Regency, West Kalimantan | Sanctioned 4 Sep 2026; about 1,275.87 ha burned in a 74,480 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 4 Sep 2026 |
| 1 | PT Hutan Ketapang Industri | Ketapang Regency, West Kalimantan | Sanctioned 4 Sep 2026; about 670.76 ha burned in a 100,150 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 4 Sep 2026 |
| 1 | PT Mayawana Persada Mas | Ketapang Regency, West Kalimantan | Sanctioned 4 Sep 2026; about 326.93 ha burned in a 136,710 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 4 Sep 2026 |
| 1 | PT Sinar Karya Mandiri | Ketapang Regency, West Kalimantan | Land sealed 27 Aug 2026 | Ministry of Environment, Aug 2026 |
| 2 | PT Duta Andalan Sukses | Sanggau Regency, West Kalimantan | Sanctioned 4 Sep 2026; about 247.3 ha burned in a 31,080 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 4 Sep 2026 |
| 2 | PT Wana Lestari Jaya | Sanggau Regency, West Kalimantan | Sanctioned 4 Sep 2026 (47.84 ha burned); licence cancelled 21 Sep 2026; 29,140 ha concession in Sanggau and Sekadau | Ministry of Forestry, 4 Sep; 21 Sep 2026 |
| 3 | PT Pancaran Wana Nusa | Lamandau Regency, Central Kalimantan | Licence cancelled 21 Sep 2026; 497 ha burned in a 3,812 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 21 Sep 2026 |
| 3 | PT Grace Putri Perdana | Lamandau Regency, Central Kalimantan | Licence cancelled 21 Sep 2026; 374.99 ha burned in a 28,990 ha concession in Lamandau, Sukamara and Ketapang | Ministry of Forestry, 21 Sep 2026 |
| 4 | PT Babugus Wahana Lestari | Kapuas Regency, Central Kalimantan | Licence cancelled 21 Sep 2026; 231.10 ha burned in an 18,640 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 21 Sep 2026 |
| 5 | PT Prima Multi Buana | Banjar Regency, South Kalimantan | Licence cancelled 21 Sep 2026; 18.20 ha burned in an 11,882 ha concession | Ministry of Forestry, 21 Sep 2026 |
| 6 | PT WEL | West Kalimantan, province only | Government coercion order 25 Aug 2026; 760.51 ha burned | Ministry of Forestry, 25 Aug 2026 |
| 6 | PT MPK | West Kalimantan, province only | Government coercion order and business permit frozen 25 Aug 2026; 394.83 ha burned | Ministry of Forestry, 25 Aug 2026 |
| 6 | PT WSP | West Kalimantan, province only | Government coercion order 25 Aug 2026; 107.70 ha burned | Ministry of Forestry, 25 Aug 2026 |
| 6 | PT FI | West Kalimantan, province only | Government coercion order 25 Aug 2026; 95.87 ha burned | Ministry of Forestry, 25 Aug 2026 |
| 7 | PT NES | Central Kalimantan, province only | Government coercion order 25 Aug 2026; 70.38 ha burned | Ministry of Forestry, 25 Aug 2026 |
| 8 | PT PSR | East Kalimantan, province only | Government coercion order 25 Aug 2026; 82.26 ha burned | Ministry of Forestry, 25 Aug 2026 |
The nine licence holders whose concession size Indonesia published each hold 3,812 to 136,710 hectares, far beyond a smallholding. Indonesia’s Ministry of Forestry describes each named company as the holder of a forest utilisation business licence (PBPH), and gives the size of each concession. Under Indonesian rules, an oil palm plot under 25 hectares needs only registration with the district, not a business licence. Each dot is one of the nine concessions whose size the ministry published.
Singapore has reported serving notices on 7 Indonesian companies under its haze law. Singapore’s Transboundary Haze Pollution Act lets the National Environment Agency act against companies whose fires cause haze in Singapore.
aseanx has traced 46 government actions on the haze since 1997, at three levels. Each dot is one action, traced to the source that reported it, and only years with an action are shown: 22 domestic, 11 bilateral and 13 multilateral. Select a dot to read the action and open its source.
Every action links to the record it comes from. Newest first. Each action is described as reported by the source linked beside it; aseanx cannot independently verify these reports.
| Date | Level | Who acted | Action | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Domestic | Singapore | Singapore’s National Environment Agency issued preventive measure notices under its haze act to 7 Indonesian companies. | National Environment Agency, Singapore, 2026 |
| 2026-10-15 | Bilateral | Indonesia with Malaysia and Singapore | Indonesia's foreign minister said the president had approved accepting foreign firefighting help. | The Star, 2026 |
| 2026-10-13 | Multilateral | Philippines as ASEAN chair | The Philippines placed haze on the agenda of the November ASEAN foreign ministers' meetings. | The Star, 2026 |
| 2026-10-10 | Bilateral | Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia | Indonesia's forestry ministry welcomed Singapore's and Malaysia's offers of help. | The Star, 2026 |
| 2026-10-09 | Domestic | Malaysia | Malaysia closed schools fully or partly in 5 states and 2 federal territories. | Khaleej Times, 2026 |
| 2026-10-08 | Bilateral | Malaysia and Indonesia | Malaysia's prime minister called Indonesia's president, who agreed to take the necessary steps on the haze. | Bernama, 2026 |
| 2026-10-08 | Multilateral | Malaysia and ASEAN Secretariat | Malaysia's prime minister instructed the foreign minister to seek an ASEAN meeting of environment ministers through the ASEAN Secretariat. | Bernama, 2026 |
| 2026-09-24 | Domestic | Malaysia | A ministry committee was reported to be studying a transboundary haze law modelled on Singapore's act. | Business Today, 2026 |
| 2026-09-21 | Domestic | Indonesia | The forestry ministry cancelled the licences of 5 companies over 1,169.13 hectares of burned land. | Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia, 2026 |
| 2026-09-16 | Domestic | Indonesia | The forestry minister suspended the licences of 26 companies. | IDN Financials, 2026 |
| 2026-09-07 | Domestic | Indonesia | The president ordered stronger law enforcement against deliberate forest and land burning. | Cabinet Secretariat of Indonesia, 2026 |
| 2026-08-26 | Multilateral | ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre | The centre raised southern ASEAN to Alert Level 3, its highest haze alert. | New Straits Times, 2026 |
| 2026-08-25 | Domestic | Indonesia | The forestry ministry sanctioned 6 licence holders over 1,511.55 hectares of burned land: 5 received government coercion orders and 1 had its business licence frozen. | Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia, 2026 |
| 2026-08-22 | Domestic | Indonesia | The president sent 3 more military battalions and water-bombing helicopters to Kalimantan. | The Vibes, 2026 |
| 2026-07-09 | Multilateral | Southern ASEAN haze ministers | The ministers agreed to examine strengthening the ASEAN haze control fund and urged members to ratify the regional haze centre agreement promptly. | ASEAN Secretariat, 2026 |
| 2026-06-29 | Bilateral | Singapore and Indonesia | The 2 environment ministers signed a memorandum of understanding on environmental cooperation that covers transboundary pollution. | Singapore Ministry of Sustainability and the Environment, 2026 |
| 2026-04-22 | Domestic | Indonesia | Indonesia opened the regional haze centre's office in Jakarta; the centre becomes fully operational after ratification. | ANTARA, 2026 |
| 2025-09-03 | Multilateral | Parties to the haze agreement | The parties recorded that all members had signed the agreement for the regional haze centre, with ratification still to come. | ASEAN, 2025 |
| 2023-11-06 | Domestic | Malaysia | Malaysia decided not to table a transboundary haze law and chose diplomacy instead. | New Straits Times, 2023 |
| 2023-10-06 | Bilateral | Malaysia and Indonesia | Malaysia's environment minister wrote to Indonesia offering firefighting help. | Malay Mail, 2023 |
| 2023-09-05 | Multilateral | ASEAN and Indonesia | ASEAN inaugurated its haze control coordinating centre in Jakarta during the 43rd ASEAN Summit. | ANTARA, 2023 |
| 2023-08-23 | Multilateral | Parties to the haze agreement | The parties adopted a second haze-free roadmap and peatland strategy for 2023 to 2030. | ASEAN, 2023 |
| 2020-02-28 | Domestic | Indonesia | A presidential instruction ordered nationwide fire prevention, suppression and enforcement. | Cabinet Secretariat of Indonesia, 2020 |
| 2020 | Domestic | Indonesia | At the end of 2020, the president extended the peatland agency to 2024 and added mangrove restoration to its remit. | Mongabay, 2021 |
| 2019-09-19 | Bilateral | Malaysia and Indonesia | Malaysia's prime minister said Indonesia had not accepted Malaysia's offer of water-bombing help. | Borneo Post, 2019 |
| 2019-09-13 | Domestic | Indonesia | The environment ministry sealed fire-hit land held by 3 Malaysian-linked companies and 1 Singapore-linked company. | The Jakarta Post, 2019 |
| 2019-08-05 | Domestic | Indonesia | The president made the moratorium on new licences in primary forest and peatland permanent. | Tempo, 2019 |
| 2016-12-02 | Domestic | Indonesia | A government regulation barred new peatland clearing until zoning is complete. | ANTARA, 2016 |
| 2016-08-11 | Multilateral | Parties to the haze agreement | The parties adopted a roadmap for a haze-free ASEAN by 2020 and endorsed Indonesia as host of a regional haze centre. | ASEAN, 2016 |
| 2016-08-11 | Domestic | Indonesia | A Jakarta court ruled against a plantation company in a fire-damages suit brought by the environment ministry; the Supreme Court later upheld about Rp319 billion in liability. | Climate Case Chart |
| 2016-01-06 | Domestic | Indonesia | The president set up the Peatland Restoration Agency, with a target of about 2 million hectares in 6 provinces. | Cabinet Secretariat of Indonesia, 2016 |
| 2015-10-11 | Bilateral | Malaysia and Indonesia | Malaysia sent a 25-member team and a water-bombing aircraft to South Sumatra. | Malay Mail, 2015 |
| 2015-10-10 | Bilateral | Singapore and Indonesia | Singapore deployed a Chinook helicopter and 34 personnel to fight fires in Sumatra. | Singapore MINDEF, 2015 |
| 2015-10-08 | Bilateral | Indonesia and 5 partners | Indonesia said it would accept firefighting help from Singapore, Malaysia, Russia, China and Australia. | The Jakarta Post, 2015 |
| 2015-09-25 | Domestic | Singapore | Singapore wrote to 4 Indonesian companies under its haze act. | Singapore Government, 2015 |
| 2015-09-17 | Bilateral | Indonesia and Singapore | Indonesia again declined Singapore's offer of firefighting help. | The Star, 2015 |
| 2015-01-20 | Multilateral | Indonesia and ASEAN Secretariat | Indonesia deposited its ratification of the haze agreement with the ASEAN Secretary-General. | Singapore MFA, 2015 |
| 2014-10-14 | Domestic | Indonesia | Indonesia ratified the haze agreement, the last ASEAN member to do so. | ASEAN Haze Portal, 2015 |
| 2014-09-25 | Domestic | Singapore | The Transboundary Haze Pollution Act 2014 took effect, allowing Singapore to act against companies that cause haze. | Singapore Government, 2015 |
| 2013-06-20 | Bilateral | Indonesia and Singapore | Indonesia convened an emergency haze meeting, and Singapore offered a cloud-seeding aircraft and satellite imagery. | Singapore MFA, 2013 |
| 2011-05-20 | Domestic | Indonesia | A presidential instruction imposed a 2-year moratorium on new licences in primary forest and peatland. | CIFOR Forests News, 2011 |
| 2010-02-01 | Domestic | Philippines Senate | The Philippines ratified the haze agreement on 1 February 2010 and deposited its ratification on 4 March 2010. | Philippine Senate; ASEAN Haze Portal |
| 2006-11 | Multilateral | ASEAN environment ministers | The ministers endorsed the ASEAN Peatland Management Strategy for 2006 to 2020. | ASEAN |
| 2003-11-25 | Multilateral | ASEAN | The haze agreement entered into force after the sixth ratification. | ASEAN Secretariat, 2003 |
| 2002-06-10 | Multilateral | All 10 ASEAN members | The members signed the ASEAN Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution in Kuala Lumpur. | ASEAN Secretariat, 2003 |
| 1997-12 | Multilateral | ASEAN environment ministers | The first ASEAN ministerial meeting on haze adopted the Regional Haze Action Plan in Singapore. | NUS Centre for International Law |
Indonesia moved from declining foreign help in August to accepting help and responsibility in mid-October, as Malaysia and Singapore pressed for action. Each dot is one public statement by a government, an NGO or researcher, a business or a health body, from 1 August to 18 October 2026. 38 statements from nine markets are recorded. Select a dot for what was said and the report it comes from.
The sharpest disagreement is about enforcement and disclosure, not about the facts of the fires. Each row sets out one open question and the opposing positions taken in the statements recorded below.
| Question | One side | The other side |
|---|---|---|
| Who caused the fires? | Indonesia points to El Niño, dry fuel and concessions held by foreign companies; Malaysia says fires were outside its companies’ concessions and blames traditional burning; industry groups say fire spreads in from outside. | NGOs say drained and damaged peat, and weak enforcement, are the root cause; a researcher calls El Niño an amplifier, not the cause. |
| Should the names be published? | Indonesian legislators, WALHI and Greenpeace want concession maps and company data made public. | Indonesia has published few names; Singapore says ownership cannot yet be disclosed while it investigates. |
| Who should pay? | Singapore is weighing action under its haze law, and Malaysian MPs want financial pressure on firms linked to burning. | Plantation groups oppose strict liability; legal experts doubt any country can prove cases without Indonesia’s cooperation. |
| What should ASEAN do? | Malaysia wants haze treated as a regional disaster and an environment ministers’ meeting; the Philippines has put it on the November agenda. | Commentators say the 2002 agreement cannot compel a member state to act. |
Every statement links to the report it comes from. Newest first.
| Date | Group | Market | Speaker | What they said | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | NGOs and researchers | Singapore | Euston Quah, Nanyang Technological University | Said his early assessment is that this year’s haze costs to Singapore already exceed the S$1.83 billion of 2015. | Eco-Business |
| 2026-10-16 | NGOs and researchers | Singapore | Alan Tan, National University of Singapore | Said Singapore’s haze law cannot work without Indonesia’s cooperation, because Singapore cannot prove facts on the ground. | Eco-Business |
| 2026-10-16 | NGOs and researchers | Malaysia | James Chin, University of Tasmania | Said ASEAN’s 2002 haze agreement is close to worthless because ASEAN defers to national sovereignty. | The Jakarta Post / AFP |
| 2026-10-16 | NGOs and researchers | Indonesia | Uli Arta Siagian, WALHI | Said damaged peatland is the root cause of the fires and that a full review of permits is needed before sanctions. | Katadata |
| 2026-10-16 | Government | Malaysia | Fahmi Fadzil, Communications Minister | Said Cabinet checks found the fires were outside Malaysian-owned concessions, apart from one fire that spread into a 5-hectare plot and was put out. | Bernama |
| 2026-10-16 | Government | Indonesia | Alex Indra Lukman, Deputy Chair, Commission IV, House of Representatives | Urged the President to publish data on the companies suspected of causing fires, saying open enforcement would ease tension with neighbours. | Katadata |
| 2026-10-16 | Business | Regional | Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) | Said losing certification costs a company commercially, but compensation for losses to others is a matter for national courts. | Eco-Business |
| 2026-10-16 | Business | Indonesia | APHI, Indonesian Forest Concession Holders Association | Acknowledged hotspots in some forestry concessions but argued that no one should be blamed yet. | Katadata |
| 2026-10-15 | Government | Singapore | Lawrence Wong, Prime Minister | Said Singapore is investigating which companies may be responsible and will act under its haze law where warranted. | The Star |
| 2026-10-15 | Government | Malaysia | Syed Ibrahim Syed Noh, Deputy Minister of Natural Resources | Told Parliament that proving who the polluters are is the main obstacle to a Malaysian haze law, and attributed most Kalimantan fires to traditional burning by farmers. | Malaysiakini |
| 2026-10-15 | Government | Malaysia | Mohamad Hasan, Foreign Minister | Ruled out legal action or a diplomatic note for now, calling a note a last resort, and said Malaysia will propose treating haze under ASEAN’s disaster framework. | The Star / Bernama |
| 2026-10-15 | Government | Indonesia | Hanif Faisol Nurofiq, Deputy Coordinating Minister for Food | Replied to Malaysian MPs that controlling the haze is Indonesia’s responsibility, while pointing to abundant fuel and a long El Niño. | Katadata |
| 2026-10-15 | Business | Indonesia | GAPKI, Indonesian Palm Oil Association | Backed a total ban on burning to clear land, but objected to holding concession holders strictly liable for fires that spread in from outside. | Katadata |
| 2026-10-14 | Health and public bodies | Timor-Leste | Government of Timor-Leste | Closed schools nationwide for three days from 15 October as a preventive measure. | The Jakarta Post / AFP |
| 2026-10-14 | Government | Singapore | Grace Fu, Minister for Sustainability and the Environment | Said Singapore is keeping its options open on action under its haze law while it reviews the data. | The Star |
| 2026-10-13 | Government | Philippines | Department of Foreign Affairs, as ASEAN chair | Said the haze is on the agenda of the November ASEAN foreign ministers’ meetings. | The Star |
| 2026-10-13 | Government | Malaysia | Syed Saddiq Syed Abdul Rahman, Member of Parliament | Called for a joint ASEAN protest to Indonesia, for banks to cut credit to firms linked to burning, and for a Malaysian haze law. | Malaysiakini |
| 2026-10-11 | Health and public bodies | Singapore | Ong Ye Kung, Minister for Health | Activated the Haze Subsidy Scheme for the first time since 2015 and said respiratory cases were rising week on week. | Ministry of Health |
| 2026-10-11 | Government | Indonesia | Arrmanatha Nasir, Foreign Minister | Told Malaysia that Indonesia had deployed more than 60,000 personnel to fight the fires. | Malay Mail / Bernama |
| 2026-10-10 | Government | Indonesia | Syahganda Nainggolan, Government Communication Agency | Answered criticism from Malaysia and Singapore by saying Indonesia’s forests also send them oxygen, a remark widely criticised in Malaysia. | Malay Mail |
| 2026-10-09 | Business | Malaysia | Federation of Malaysian Manufacturers | Urged ASEAN to turn its haze agreements into measurable results, with a five-point plan on monitoring, penalties, supply chains, clean technology and worker protection. | Malay Mail |
| 2026-10-08 | Government | Malaysia | Anwar Ibrahim, Prime Minister | Said he called President Prabowo, who agreed to take the necessary steps, and asked for ASEAN environment ministers to meet. | The Star / Bernama |
| 2026-10-07 | NGOs and researchers | Indonesia | West Kalimantan indigenous and civil-society coalition | Filed a class-action suit against the President and senior officials over the fires; the hearing was postponed to 21 October. | Malaysiakini |
| 2026-10-05 | NGOs and researchers | Indonesia and Malaysia | Greenpeace Indonesia and Malaysia, with Pantau Gambut | Published an analysis linking concessions held by Malaysian- and Singapore-linked groups to haze sources, and called for a cross-border law on corporate accountability. | Greenpeace |
| 2026-09-24 | Health and public bodies | Malaysia | Malaysian Medical Association | Asked hospitals to stock inhalers and oxygen, called for affordable N95 masks and welcomed school closures. | The Star |
| 2026-09-17 | Government | Thailand | Chaiyut Saenghaisuk, Pollution Control Department | Issued Thailand’s first cross-border haze warning of 2026 for the southern provinces and said Thailand could seek ASEAN Secretariat help. | Nation Thailand |
| 2026-09-16 | Government | Viet Nam | Le Dinh Quyet, Southern Regional Hydrometeorological Center | Called the haze over Ho Chi Minh City unusual, but said there was not yet enough evidence to attribute it to the Indonesian fires. | VietNamNet |
| 2026-09-14 | Health and public bodies | Malaysia | Malaysian Thoracic Society | Called the haze a significant public-health threat and demanded stronger regional diplomacy and enforcement. | CodeBlue |
| 2026-09-11 | NGOs and researchers | Indonesia | WALHI | Reported 262 companies with high-confidence hotspots to the President and asked for inspections, published results, sanctions and a 25-year moratorium on new permits. | Katadata |
| 2026-09-11 | NGOs and researchers | Indonesia | Nisa Novita, Yayasan Konservasi Alam Nusantara | Said El Niño does not directly cause most fires but acts as a major amplifier, and questioned whether peat protection is enough. | Carbon Brief |
| 2026-09-08 | Government | Brunei | Department of Environment, Parks and Recreation (JASTRe) | Added fine-particle readings to its air-quality index and moved to five updates a day. | The Star / Borneo Bulletin |
| 2026-09-04 | NGOs and researchers | Malaysia | Greenpeace Malaysia and Himpunan Advocacy Rakyat Malaysia | Protested at the Indonesian Embassy and demanded that Jakarta publish concession maps and its evidence, and that both countries hold their own companies to account. | Greenpeace / The Star |
| 2026-09-04 | Business | Malaysia | AirAsia | Warned that flights over East Malaysia and West Kalimantan could be disrupted. | The Star |
| 2026-09-02 | Health and public bodies | Brunei | Ministry of Health | Issued an advisory on masks, air purifiers and medication for vulnerable groups. | Asia News Network |
| 2026-09-01 | Health and public bodies | Philippines | Department of Health | Advised N95 masks and limited outdoor activity as haze reached Luzon. | PTV News |
| 2026-08-26 | Government | Indonesia | Jumhur Hidayat, Minister of Environment | Said Indonesia had not asked for help and would only consider offers, and that many Malaysian and Singaporean companies hold concessions in Indonesia; whether they were involved this year was still being checked. | Katadata |
| 2026-08-22 | Health and public bodies | Indonesia | Ministry of Health, Health Crisis Center | Reported a 78.1% weekly rise in acute respiratory infections in Kalimantan and mobilised 314 health workers. | Katadata |
| 2026-08-22 | Business | Indonesia | Singkawang Airport | Cancelled all flights because haze cut visibility. | BusinessToday |
Rain, not policy, has ended every major haze season, and the 2026 rains are forecast to arrive late. This assessment does not forecast hotspots. It sets out how past seasons ended, what the weather agencies expect, which measures have worked, and what ASEAN has and has not done.
Fires in Indonesia fell by more than 80% within two weeks once the rain arrived in 2015. Each line shows Indonesia’s average daily fire hotspots in each half-month from July to December. Early October 2026 averaged 1,713 a day, against 1,684 in the same weeks of 2015; on 16 and 17 October 2026 it fell to about 800 a day.
| Season | What ended it | Alert lowered | Lowest alert | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | Rain and a wind shift cleared Sarawak in late September; fires burned on into 1998 | No ASMC record | — | Press reports, 1997–1998 |
| 2015 | About two weeks of rain in late October and early November | 2 Nov 2015 | 13 Nov 2015 | ASMC alerts, 2015 |
| 2019 | Rain on moist easterly winds from the last week of September | 29 Sep 2019 | 20 Nov 2019 | ASMC alerts, 2019 |
| 2023 | Showers in late October over southern Kalimantan and Sumatra | 24 Oct 2023 | 14 Nov 2023 | ASMC review, 2023 |
| 2026 | Not yet ended; ASMC has held Level 3, its highest alert, since 26 August | — | — | ASMC, read 18 Oct 2026 |
The agencies expect the winds to turn away from Malaysia and Singapore before the rain reaches the fire zones. Each line is the agency’s own published outlook.
| Agency | Outlook | Date |
|---|---|---|
| BMKG, Indonesia | Rain had begun in northern West Kalimantan and Riau and was expected in southern Kalimantan, Jambi and South Sumatra during October. Most zones start in November or December, later than normal. | 22 Sep and 2 Oct 2026 |
| ASMC | Drier than usual over most of southern ASEAN from 12 to 25 October. | 7 Oct 2026 |
| NOAA, United States | El Niño strong and strengthening, with more than an 83% chance of a strong to very strong event through January to March 2027. | 8 Oct 2026 |
| MetMalaysia | The monsoon transition began on 9 October and runs to the end of the month; haze is expected to ease gradually as the winds change. | 6 Oct 2026 |
| NEA, Singapore | Winds were expected to turn south-east or south over 17–18 October, reducing smoke from Kalimantan; smoke from Sumatra may persist. | 15 Oct 2026 |
Rewetted peat burns less, but enforcement, foreign help and the regional treaty have changed little. Each measure is judged on the published evidence.
| Measure | Evidence | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| Peat rewetting | University of Leeds researchers found restored peat had up to 22% fewer hotspots in the 2019 El Niño, and that deep wells cut fire risk more than canal blocks (The Star, 19 Aug 2026). Pantau Gambut found 52% of restoration sites still had groundwater below the safe level and 70% of monitored canal dams damaged (Katadata, 25 Sep 2026). Indonesia dissolved its peat agency in December 2024. | Works where maintained |
| Forest and peat moratorium | Greenpeace reported in August 2019 that more than 1 million hectares inside moratorium areas burned in 2015–2018. | Weak |
| Court penalties in Indonesia | Courts have ordered more than Rp21 trillion in fire penalties, and little has been collected (Mongabay, 2025). | Ordered, rarely paid |
| Singapore’s haze law (2014) | No company has been fined under the Act. Singapore served preventive notices on 7 companies on 16 October 2026 (NEA). | Not yet tested in court |
| Water bombing and cloud seeding | In 2026 smoke grounded most aircraft and cloud seeding had no suitable clouds (Bernama, Oct 2026). | Limited at the peak |
| Foreign firefighting help | Indonesia accepted help from Singapore and Malaysia on 16 October 2026, about a month after the offers. | Late |
ASEAN has built agreements, roadmaps and a centre, but none can compel a member to act. The record since the 2002 haze agreement.
The haze is likely to ease with the monsoon, and five steps would change the next season. The left column is aseanx’s view of what is likely. The right column is what would make the next season different.
aseanx builds the monitor from official government and satellite data, and labels every figure it calculates itself as an aseanx estimate. How each part of the monitor is made.
Every figure on the monitor links back to a dated source. Official sources are listed first.