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ASEAN · KEY STATS
◆ASEAN GDP $4.26T ASEANstats · 2025 · ASEAN-10 basis ◆Population 693.2M ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Goods $4.37T ▲ up 13.7% on 2024 ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Services $1.40T ASEANstats · 2025 ◆FDI Inflows $244B ▲ up 10% on 2024 UNCTAD WIR 2026 · 2025 · eleven economies ◆Intra-ASEAN Exports 22.5% ASEANstats · 2024 · top export destination ◆ASEAN GDP $4.26T ASEANstats · 2025 · ASEAN-10 basis ◆Population 693.2M ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Goods $4.37T ▲ up 13.7% on 2024 ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Services $1.40T ASEANstats · 2025 ◆FDI Inflows $244B ▲ up 10% on 2024 UNCTAD WIR 2026 · 2025 · eleven economies ◆Intra-ASEAN Exports 22.5% ASEANstats · 2024 · top export destination ◆ASEAN GDP $4.26T ASEANstats · 2025 · ASEAN-10 basis ◆Population 693.2M ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Goods $4.37T ▲ up 13.7% on 2024 ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Services $1.40T ASEANstats · 2025 ◆FDI Inflows $244B ▲ up 10% on 2024 UNCTAD WIR 2026 · 2025 · eleven economies ◆Intra-ASEAN Exports 22.5% ASEANstats · 2024 · top export destination ◆ASEAN GDP $4.26T ASEANstats · 2025 · ASEAN-10 basis ◆Population 693.2M ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Goods $4.37T ▲ up 13.7% on 2024 ASEANstats · 2025 · eleven markets ◆Trade in Services $1.40T ASEANstats · 2025 ◆FDI Inflows $244B ▲ up 10% on 2024 UNCTAD WIR 2026 · 2025 · eleven economies ◆Intra-ASEAN Exports 22.5% ASEANstats · 2024 · top export destination
Analysis

Analysis you can trace to its source.

aseanx FDI Pulse 2026: foreign direct investment into the eleven Southeast Asian markets in 2025 — US$244bn, up 9.7%, with GVC-intensive manufacturing investment more than halved. Sourced to UNCTAD World Investment Report 2026.

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AnalysisASEAN FDI Pulse — 2026 editionANALYSIS-2026-FDI-PULSE
aseanxAnalysis · Issue 002 · 2026 edition

ASEAN FDI Pulse

Recorded inflows reached US$244 billion in 2025, and three markets took four fifths of them

Issued 4 September 2026  ·  Reference ANALYSIS-2026-FDI-PULSE  ·  Reference year 2025  ·  Markets 11

What is the FDI Pulse? It records where foreign direct investment (FDI) actually landed across the eleven ASEAN markets in the reference year: how much each market received, which economies it came from, and how concentrated the flow is. It describes what was recorded and makes no forecast.

Inflows reached US$244 billion in 2025, up 9.7% on 2024, making South-East Asia the largest recipient subregion in developing Asia. But investment into the region's global-value-chain (GVC) manufacturing more than halved over the same year, from US$31 billion to US$14 billion, and Singapore alone took 61.8% of the regional total.

$244bnRecorded inflows across the eleven markets, 2025.
9.7%Recorded inflows rose 9.7% on 2024's US$222bn.
11Eleven markets are covered, Timor-Leste included.
78.9%Three markets take 78.9% of recorded inflows: Singapore, Indonesia and Viet Nam.
4,085The Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) of concentration across the eleven shares.
NoneNo composite figure is published; the components are not commensurable.

Basis

Eleven markets are covered, Timor-Leste included. The levels, shares and concentration are from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), World Investment Report 2026, reference year 2025. The source-economy mix is the ASEAN Secretariat's, and the decade series is the World Bank's; each table names its own body, and the three are never combined. The Pulse records what was reported and makes no forecast.

This document carries

1 The reading in brief · 2 FDI Pulse: where capital landed · M Method

The aseanx Business Conditions Index is published as its own document.

1The reading in brief

Foreign direct investment into the eleven ASEAN markets totalled US$244 billion in 2025, up 9.7% on 2024, while investment into the region’s global-value-chain (GVC) intensive manufacturing industries more than halved.

Recorded inflows, 2025$244bnup 9.7% on 2024's $222bn
GVC-intensive manufacturing$14bndown from $31bn in one year
Concentration, top three78.9%Singapore · Indonesia · Viet Nam
Composite figureNoneThe components are not commensurable

The rise in recorded inflows and the fall in industrial investment happened in the same year. Inflows rose from US$222 billion in 2024 to US$244 billion in 2025, and South-East Asia became the largest recipient subregion in developing Asia. Eight of the eleven markets grew. Over the same year, investment into the region's GVC-intensive manufacturing industries fell from US$31 billion to US$14 billion. The 2025 investment was concentrated in communications, semiconductors, electronics and renewable energy.

Three markets take almost four fifths of recorded inflows. Three markets account for 78.9% of recorded inflows — Singapore 61.8%, Indonesia 8.8%, Viet Nam 8.3%. The Herfindahl-Hirschman index across the eleven market shares is approximately 4,085 — the sum of the squared shares printed in Table 1 — against the 2,500 threshold conventionally applied by competition authorities.

Two bodies are cited in this edition and they are never combined. The levels and the composition are from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), World Investment Report 2026, published 7 July 2026: annex table 1 for the levels and chapter I for the composition, read 31 August 2026. UNCTAD's grouping is South-East Asia — eleven economies, Timor-Leste included. The source-economy mix in Table 2 is from the ASEAN Secretariat's ASEAN FDI Database, via ASEANstats, preliminary as at 1 July 2026 and read 5 September 2026 — the only body that publishes where the region's inflows come from. The two compile on different bases and their regional totals differ by about US$1.5 billion; each table is read against its own source and no figure is carried between them.

Key message 1Investment into ASEAN rose in 2025 while investment into its manufacturing fell by more than half

South-East Asia recorded US$244 billion of inward investment in 2025, up 9.7% on the year, and became the largest recipient subregion in developing Asia. Over the same twelve months, investment into the region’s global-value-chain-intensive manufacturing fell from US$31 billion to US$14 billion. ASEAN received more investment and directed a smaller share of it into industrial capacity. The headline figure and the composition of that figure point in opposite directions, and only the headline is usually reported.

Key message 2Malaysia and Thailand received most of the region’s additional investment in 2025; Viet Nam received almost none

Malaysia and Thailand added US$9.6 billion between them, rising 50.9% and 30.3%. Indonesia and the Philippines lost US$3.8 billion, falling 13.6% and 4.3%. Viet Nam — the market most often named when the relocation of manufacturing out of China is discussed — was flat, at 0.9%. The relocation of manufacturing out of China is commonly assumed to favour Viet Nam. In 2025 the additional investment went to Malaysia and Thailand. An investment case resting on Viet Nam as the automatic beneficiary is not supported by the year’s figures.

Key message 3Investment into ASEAN became more concentrated in 2025, not less

Singapore’s inflows rose 10.8% to US$150.9 billion and its share of the region reached 61.8%. Three markets took 78.9% of everything that arrived; the remaining eight shared about US$51.5 billion between them. Discussion of the region emphasises diversification of investment away from single markets. The recorded figures for 2025 show the opposite.

2FDI Pulse: where capital landed

The Pulse records where foreign direct investment actually landed across the eleven markets: how much, in which direction, and how concentrated the flow is.

Inflows reached US$244 billion in 2025, up 9.7% on 2024, making South-East Asia the largest recipient subregion in developing Asia. Eight of the eleven markets grew. Over the same year, investment into the region’s global-value-chain (GVC) intensive manufacturing industries more than halved, from US$31 billion to US$14 billion. Recorded investment rose; investment into the manufacturing that builds industrial capacity fell.

0 2024 2025 $31bn $14bn GVC-intensive manufacturing
Figure 1 — The composition finding, 2024 to 2025. Investment into South-East Asia's global-value-chain-intensive manufacturing industries, US$ billions, drawn from zero, so the size of the fall is shown accurately. Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2026, chapter I, read 31 August 2026. Total inflows over the same two years rose from US$222bn to US$244bn; that series is in Table 1 and is not plotted here, because the two are on different scales.
Market20242025ChangeShareNote
🇸🇬Singapore$136.2bn$150.9bnup 10.8%61.8%Ranked among the top five FDI recipients globally in 2025.
🇮🇩Indonesia$24.8bn$21.4bndown 13.6%8.8%The largest fall in the region. No cause is published.
🇻🇳Viet Nam$20.2bn$20.4bnup 0.9%8.3%Recorded as broadly flat, at +1% on the year.
🇹🇭Thailand$14.7bn$19.1bnup 30.3%7.8%Recorded at +30% on the year.
🇲🇾Malaysia$10.2bn$15.4bnup 50.9%6.3%Recorded at +51% on the year.
🇵🇭Philippines$9.4bn$9.0bndown 4.3%3.7%A second consecutive underperformance against market size. No cause is published.
🇰🇭Cambodia$4.4bn$5.1bnup 16.0%2.1%An LDC recording an increase.
🇱🇦Lao PDR$1.3bn$1.4bnup 7.8%0.6%An LDC recording an increase.
🇲🇲Myanmar$1.1bn$1.1bndown 2.6%0.4%The only LDC in the subregion where inflows declined.
🇹🇱Timor-Leste$225m$253mup 12.4%0.1%An increase, but from a very small base.
🇧🇳Brunei Darussalam$26m$168mup 546.2%0.1%The largest proportional move of the eleven, on the smallest base. Read the level, not the rate.
South-East Asia$222.5bn$244.2bnup 9.7%100%The eleven rows sum to US$244,166m against the printed regional total of US$244,165m — a US$1m rounding difference.
Table 1 — Inward FDI flows, by market. Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2026, annex table 1, page 205, read 31 August 2026; US$ as printed. Brunei Darussalam and Viet Nam are on an asset/liability basis and the Philippines on a directional basis calculated from asset/liability, as footnoted by UNCTAD. Percentage changes and shares are arithmetic on the two printed columns and on nothing else.

The region is drawing more capital into fewer productive uses. A 9.7% rise in headline inflows alongside a 55% fall in GVC-intensive manufacturing investment describes a region attracting more capital into fewer productive uses. At US$14 billion against a regional total of US$244.2 billion, manufacturing that supplies global production chains accounted for 5.7% of all investment recorded in the region. If a thesis rests on ASEAN as a manufacturing relocation destination, the headline supports it and the composition does not — and the composition is the part that shows up in jobs, supplier depth and industrial capability three years out.

Finding 1Singapore receives three fifths of recorded investment into ASEAN, which makes the regional total a weak guide to the other ten markets

Singapore takes 61.8% of the regional total and the top three markets take 78.9%. The remaining eight share 21.1%, or about US$51.5 billion between them. Singapore alone receives close to three times what those eight receive together. Singapore's position is described in the source as reflecting "its role as a headquarters location and financial hub for international investment flows".

Singapore is three fifths of the regional total, and it is a headquarters and financial centre. That makes the regional figure a weak guide to where money is actually being put to work. A company deciding where to invest in the other ten markets should not read the regional total as a guide.

Finding 2Singapore is the largest single source of investment into ASEAN, and a fifth of all inflows cannot be attributed to any country

On the 2025 mix, the largest single source of investment into South-East Asia is Singapore, at 13.7% of recorded inflows, ahead of the United States at 12.2%. Singapore is a member of the region it is investing into, so the ranking is describing capital being placed through a financial centre and then deployed outward, not a new external investor. Read alongside Finding 1, where Singapore also receives three fifths of the region’s inflows, the two readings are the same fact seen from either end.

The larger figure in this table is the one with no name against it. US$47.8 billion, 19.4% of everything recorded, is filed under unspecified countries — more than any single economy and more than the eleven member states combined contribute to one another. A fifth of the region’s inbound investment cannot be traced to where it came from. That is a limit on what any source analysis of ASEAN can claim, and it is stated here rather than distributed across the named rows.

Three per-market source concentrations sit beneath the regional figure, each on the issuing body’s own basis and none of them comparable with the table above: Singapore and China together account for 56% of Malaysia’s approved foreign investment (the Malaysian Investment Development Authority, MIDA, on approvals); China accounts for approximately 53% of Cambodia’s approvals (the Council for the Development of Cambodia, CDC); and in Viet Nam’s new registrations, China and Hong Kong combined stand at 31% against Singapore’s 27.9% (the National Statistics Office, NSO, on new registrations).

Source economy2025Share
Singapore$33.7bn13.7%
United States$30.0bn12.2%
China$26.2bn10.7%
Hong Kong, China$16.5bn6.7%
Ireland$12.2bn4.9%
Netherlands$10.4bn4.2%
Japan$9.6bn3.9%
United Kingdom$9.1bn3.7%
Republic of Korea$9.0bn3.7%
Taiwan Province of China$8.9bn3.6%
India$7.1bn2.9%
Unspecified countries$47.8bn19.4%
Intra-ASEAN (aggregate)$39.6bn16.1%
EU-27 (aggregate)$31.3bn12.8%
Table 2 — Where the region’s inflows came from, 2025. Published 2026 · 2025 flows. Source: ASEAN Secretariat, ASEAN FDI Database, via ASEANstats, preliminary as at 1 July 2026; read 5 September 2026. Total recorded inflows US$245.7bn on this basis. The eleven named rows are single economies. The final two rows are aggregates and are shown apart from them, because a bloc is not a country and the two are never ranked together. Unspecified countries is the source’s own category and is reproduced, not redistributed. This table is compiled by the ASEAN Secretariat and is not the same basis as Table 1, which is UNCTAD; the two are never combined.

Finding 3Malaysia and Cambodia each depend on one or two countries for more than half their inbound investment

Where investment comes from matters as much as how much of it arrives: a market that draws half its capital from a single country is exposed to that country’s policy decisions. Three concentrations are on record, each on its own issuing body’s basis and none comparable with another: Singapore and China together account for 56% of Malaysia's approved foreign investment (the Malaysian Investment Development Authority, MIDA, on approvals); China accounts for approximately 53% of Cambodia's approvals (the Council for the Development of Cambodia, CDC); and in Viet Nam's new registrations, China and Hong Kong combined stand at 31% against Singapore's 27.9% (the National Statistics Office, NSO, on new registrations). These are approvals and registrations, not flows. They are not the source mix of the figures in Table 1, and no source mix for 2025 is published.

Finding 4Investment into Thailand and Malaysia arrives in irregular bursts rather than at a steady rate

The two markets that grew fastest in 2025 are the two with the least consistent decade behind them. Malaysia rose 50.9% and Thailand 30.3%, the largest proportional gains among the substantial markets. Of the nine markets large enough to classify, Thailand carries the highest variation at a coefficient of 0.66, Myanmar the second at 0.51 and Malaysia the third at 0.40. Brunei Darussalam records a higher coefficient still, at 1.65, and Timor-Leste records none at all; both are set aside as small and lumpy, where a proportional measure carries no information. Brunei Darussalam averages US$183 million a year over the decade and was net-negative in three of the ten years; Timor-Leste’s decade average is itself negative, which is why no coefficient is computed for it. Lao PDR, by contrast, averages US$1.14 billion with no net-negative year, which is what places it above the small-and-lumpy threshold and inside the steady group. Viet Nam, by contrast, rose 0.9% and carries the steadiest decade in the region at 0.16. A single strong year in Malaysia or Thailand is therefore weaker evidence of a trend than the same year would be in Viet Nam. An operator sizing a market on last year alone will read those three rises as equivalent, and they are not.

Six markets have held a steady decade: Singapore, Indonesia, Viet Nam, the Philippines, Cambodia and Lao PDR. Five have not — Thailand swinging, Malaysia and Myanmar variable, and Timor-Leste and Brunei Darussalam too small and too lumpy to classify. Consistency and scale do not travel together here. Cambodia, at 2.1% of the region, holds a steadier decade than Malaysia at 6.3%, and the Philippines holds a steadier one than either.

The table reports each market on the compilation published by the World Bank. It is a different source from Table 1 and is not comparable with it line by line; the two are never added together.

MarketNet inflowYearDirectionTen-year seriesStabilitySector basis
Singapore $159bn 2025 up +17.8% steady cv 0.26 stock
Indonesia $22.3bn 2025 down -8.2% steady cv 0.28 realization
Viet Nam $20.2bn 2024 stale up +9% steady cv 0.16 registration
Thailand $18.8bn 2025 up +31.7% swinging cv 0.66 approval
Malaysia $15.6bn 2024 stale up +96.9% variable cv 0.4 approval
Philippines $7.8bn 2025 down -17.1% steady cv 0.15 approval
Cambodia $5.1bn 2025 up +16% steady cv 0.2 approval
Myanmar $1.1bn 2024 stale down -27.9% variable cv 0.51 approval
Lao PDR $988m 2024 stale down -44.5% steady cv 0.3 none published
Timor-Leste $253m 2025 up (% withheld) small and lumpy none published
Brunei Darussalam $62m 2025 up (% withheld) small and lumpy cv 1.65 stock
Table 3 — The five readings, by market. Level and direction are on the balance-of-payments basis (World Bank World Development Indicators). Percentage changes are withheld where the prior year was non-positive or the market is classified small and lumpy. Sector and source mixes are quoted on each issuing body's own basis and are never converted.
Sector basis — how the issuing body counts sector investmentstock accumulated position, not a flowrealization investment recorded as spentregistration capital registered at entryapproval permission granted, not yet spentnone published no sector breakdown for that marketstale in the year column: the latest figure the issuer has published is not the current year

Finding 5The financial and insurance sector lost a third of its investment in 2024 while manufacturing more than doubled (2023 to 2024, the latest year for which composition is published)

The composition of investment into ASEAN turned over in a single year. Inflows into the financial and insurance sector fell from US$136 billion in 2023 to US$92 billion in 2024, a loss of a third. Over the same year manufacturing rose from US$18 billion to US$44 billion, and professional and scientific activities moved from a net outflow of US$4 billion to an inflow of US$23 billion. The financial and insurance sector remained the largest single destination, but its lead over manufacturing narrowed from US$118 billion to US$48 billion.

2023 2024 $136bn $92bn Finance and insurance $18bn $44bn Manufacturing $-4bn $23bn Professional and scientific
Figure 2 — The rotation in ASEAN's inflow mix, 2023 to 2024. Values are balance-of-payments inflows by activity, US$ billions. Source: ASEAN Secretariat, ASEAN FDI Database, as published in ASEAN Investment Report 2025, Figure 1.2. The zero line is drawn because professional and scientific activities recorded a net outflow in 2023.

Finding 6National governments report two to three times more investment than the international figures show

Malaysia’s own investment authority records three times the investment that the international figure shows; Indonesia’s records two and a half times; Cambodia’s and Viet Nam’s about twice. The Philippines is the only one of those six where the national figure is lower — about half. Singapore is the seventh row and sits outside the comparison, because a stock is a level and the ratio would mean nothing. An operator reading a government announcement and an international series will therefore encounter two very different numbers for the same country and year, and both are correct on their own basis. The gaps are structural and documented, and this edition records them rather than reconciling them. This table is the one place in the edition where two bases sit side by side, and that is its purpose. Nothing in it is added to, netted against or mixed with anything in Table 1.

MarketNational body, on its own basisUNCTAD, 2025Why they differ
IndonesiaMinistry of Investment (BKPM) realisation FY2025 $56.3b (Indonesian rupiah 900.9tn)$21.4bnGross realisation excluding oil and gas and the financial sector, against net cross-border flows. The largest gap in the region.
MalaysiaMIDA approved foreign, Malaysian ringgit 207.1b (~$46b) FY2025$15.4bnApprovals lead flows by years and are recorded gross at the point of permission. The gap is timing and definition, not error.
ThailandBoard of Investment (BOI) applications, Thai baht 1.876tn FY2025$19.1bnApplications are intent; BOI's own certificate count is the nearer-term measure.
Viet NamRegistered $38.42b / disbursed $27.62b FY2025 (NSO)$20.4bnRegistration > disbursement > net flow, by construction. UNCTAD footnotes Viet Nam on an asset/liability basis.
CambodiaCDC approvals $10b FY2025$5.1bnApprovals roughly twice the recorded flow; offshore-centre routing blurs origin.
PhilippinesPhilippine Statistics Authority (PSA) approved foreign investment, Philippine peso 272.38b (~$4.7b) FY2025$9.0bnThe one market where approvals run BELOW flows — PSA counts only promotion-agency projects, while the flow measure catches reinvested earnings and everything else.
SingaporeDOS inward stock end-2024 S$3,130b$150.9bnA stock is a level and a flow is a movement. Both are recorded; neither is converted into the other.
Table 4 — The discrepancy register. Each gap is recorded with its reason rather than reconciled. The right-hand column is UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2026, annex table 1, read 31 August 2026. The left-hand column is each body's own latest release on its own basis. The two columns are never combined.
Method Method: the FDI Pulse
Download the aseanx FDI Pulse — 2026 edition
PDF · 18 pages · where capital landed across all eleven markets on UNCTAD’s 2025 basis, why the Pulse carries no single score, the discrepancy register where the national boards and the flow compilers disagree, the full method note, and every source named and dated
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